ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 0300 UTC MON OCT 15 2007 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 108.5W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 108.5W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 108.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.2N 108.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.4N 108.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.7N 107.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.5N 107.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 17.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 18.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 108.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:05 UTC