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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132007
2100 UTC WED SEP 19 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 174N 1295W 34 33 7(40) 2(42) 2(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45)
12 174N 1295W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 174N 1295W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 173N 1302W 34 15 11(26) 3(29) 4(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35)
24 173N 1302W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 173N 1302W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 171N 1306W 34 6 11(17) 5(22) 4(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28)
36 171N 1306W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 171N 1306W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 174N 1306W 34 7 12(19) 3(22) 5(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29)
48 174N 1306W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 174N 1306W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 188N 1289W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12)
72 188N 1289W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 188N 1289W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 25 25 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:05 UTC