ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007 0300 UTC FRI AUG 31 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 189N 1168W 34 36 16(52) X(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 12 189N 1168W 50 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 12 189N 1168W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 189N 1189W 34 X 26(26) 12(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 24 189N 1189W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 189N 1189W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 189N 1210W 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 8(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) 36 189N 1210W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 189N 1210W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 192N 1232W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24) 48 192N 1232W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 192N 1232W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 199N 1275W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) 72 199N 1275W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 199N 1275W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 205N 1315W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 96 205N 1315W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 205N 1315W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 205N 1355W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 205N 1355W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 205N 1355W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 40 40 35 35 25 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:00 UTC