| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Storm DALILA (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
0900 UTC MON JUL 23 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)  16(25)   4(29)   X(29)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)  11(32)   2(34)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 141N 1092W 34 36  19(55)   3(58)   3(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 12 141N 1092W 50  5   2( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 12 141N 1092W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 148N 1100W 34  2  28(30)  13(43)   5(48)   3(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 24 148N 1100W 50  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 24 148N 1100W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 156N 1107W 34  X   7( 7)  21(28)  14(42)   7(49)   1(50)   X(50)
 36 156N 1107W 50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 36 156N 1107W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 165N 1114W 34  X   1( 1)  14(15)  18(33)  14(47)   2(49)   X(49)
 48 165N 1114W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   6(16)   1(17)   X(17)
 48 165N 1114W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 185N 1135W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  25(31)   9(40)   2(42)
 72 185N 1135W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)
 72 185N 1135W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 205N 1165W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  13(19)   4(23)
 96 205N 1165W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 96 205N 1165W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 225N 1200W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)
120 225N 1200W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 225N 1200W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     40      45      55      60      55      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN