| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Depression THREE-E (Text)

ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032007
200 PM PDT TUE JUN 12 2007

THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DETERIORATE AND THERE IS VERY LITTLE
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION.  THE CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
THROUGH AN ENVIRONMENT OF STABLE AIR AND COOLER WATERS SO
DISSIPATION IS LIKELY TO OCCUR IN 12 HOURS OR SO.  IN FACT...IF
DEEP CONVECTION DOES NOT REDEVELOP SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...ADVISORIES COULD BE TERMINATED THIS EVENING.

MY TRACK FORECAST REASONING REMAINS ABOUT THE SAME.  CURRENT MOTION
OF THE DEPRESSION IS AROUND 300/8.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST
IS FORECAST AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH OF THE WEAKENING
CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      12/2100Z 18.5N 114.1W    25 KT
 12HR VT     13/0600Z 18.9N 115.3W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     13/1800Z 19.0N 116.9W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     14/0600Z 19.0N 118.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     14/1800Z 19.0N 120.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
NNNN