ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 0900 UTC SUN SEP 16 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 175N 581W 34 13 6(19) X(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 12 175N 581W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 175N 581W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 182N 593W 34 2 9(11) 3(14) 2(16) 1(17) 1(18) X(18) 24 182N 593W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 182N 593W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 191N 604W 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) 2(15) 1(16) X(16) 36 191N 604W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 191N 604W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 200N 613W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) 2(15) X(15) 48 200N 613W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 48 200N 613W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 215N 625W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12) X(12) 72 215N 625W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 215N 625W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 235N 640W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 96 235N 640W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 235N 640W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 25 25 25 25 25 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:48 UTC