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Hurricane DEAN (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35                  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007               
2100 UTC TUE AUG 21 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.                                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
LA PESCO MX    34  X  13(13)   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
TAMPICO MX     34  3  47(50)   9(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
TAMPICO MX     50  X  13(13)   7(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
TAMPICO MX     64  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TUXPAN MX      34  4  75(79)   8(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
TUXPAN MX      50  X  49(49)   9(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
TUXPAN MX      64  X  23(23)   4(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34 11  55(66)   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
VERACRUZ MX    50  2  28(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
VERACRUZ MX    64  X  18(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
FRONTERA MX    34 80   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
FRONTERA MX    50 16   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
FRONTERA MX    64  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MERIDA MX      34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 198N  939W 34 96   3(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 198N  939W 50 83   9(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 12 198N  939W 64 48  20(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 
 24 205N  971W 34  5  79(84)   5(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 24 205N  971W 50  1  57(58)   7(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 24 205N  971W 64  X  31(31)   5(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 
 36 210N 1005W 34  X  11(11)  18(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 36 210N 1005W 50  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 36 210N 1005W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     85     95      30       0       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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