ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212006 0900 UTC SAT NOV 18 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 155N 1038W 34 75 4(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) 12 155N 1038W 50 10 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 12 155N 1038W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 163N 1045W 34 20 23(43) 4(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) 24 163N 1045W 50 1 6( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 24 163N 1045W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 168N 1058W 34 1 10(11) 12(23) 2(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) 36 168N 1058W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 168N 1058W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 170N 1070W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) 48 170N 1070W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 170N 1070W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 175N 1095W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 175N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 175N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 40 35 25 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 18-Nov-2006 08:40:04 UTC