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TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212006
0300 UTC SAT NOV 18 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 151N 1037W 34 45 4(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
12 151N 1037W 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 151N 1037W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 159N 1048W 34 6 15(21) 3(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
24 159N 1048W 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 159N 1048W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 165N 1060W 34 X 5( 5) 6(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
36 165N 1060W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 165N 1060W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 170N 1074W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
48 170N 1074W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 170N 1074W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 30 25 25 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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Page last modified: Saturday, 18-Nov-2006 02:55:04 UTC