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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182006               
0300 UTC FRI OCT 27 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                    
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  11(16)   2(18)   X(18)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 166N 1067W 34 32  12(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 12 166N 1067W 50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 166N 1067W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 163N 1085W 34  1  31(32)  11(43)   1(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 24 163N 1085W 50  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 163N 1085W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 160N 1105W 34  X   6( 6)  26(32)  11(43)   2(45)   1(46)   X(46)
 36 160N 1105W 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 160N 1105W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 160N 1125W 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  20(30)  10(40)   1(41)   X(41)
 48 160N 1125W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 48 160N 1125W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 160N 1165W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)   6(28)   1(29)
 72 160N 1165W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 72 160N 1165W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 160N 1200W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   3(17)
 96 160N 1200W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 96 160N 1200W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
 
120 160N 1235W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)
120 160N 1235W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 160N 1235W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      50      45      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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