| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182006               
2100 UTC THU OCT 26 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                    
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   5(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  11(15)   3(18)   1(19)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 169N 1057W 34 48  16(64)   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 12 169N 1057W 50  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 12 169N 1057W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 166N 1074W 34  4  40(44)  10(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
 24 166N 1074W 50  X   8( 8)   5(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 166N 1074W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 163N 1094W 34  X   9( 9)  32(41)  10(51)   3(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 36 163N 1094W 50  X   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 36 163N 1094W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 161N 1116W 34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  24(35)  11(46)   1(47)   X(47)
 48 161N 1116W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 161N 1116W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 160N 1150W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  20(26)   8(34)   1(35)
 72 160N 1150W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
 72 160N 1150W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 165N 1180W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  10(18)   3(21)
 96 165N 1180W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 96 165N 1180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 170N 1210W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
120 170N 1210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 170N 1210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      55      55      50      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN                                           
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN