ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152006 0900 UTC TUE OCT 10 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 175N 1176W 34 62 8(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) 12 175N 1176W 50 9 4(13) X(13) X(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) 12 175N 1176W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 184N 1168W 34 6 34(40) 6(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) 24 184N 1168W 50 1 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 184N 1168W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 191N 1159W 34 X 14(14) 14(28) 3(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) 36 191N 1159W 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 36 191N 1159W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 199N 1149W 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 7(18) 4(22) 1(23) X(23) 48 199N 1149W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 199N 1149W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 210N 1130W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) 72 210N 1130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 210N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 225N 1110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 96 225N 1110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 225N 1110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 40 35 25 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 10-Oct-2006 08:50:03 UTC