ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 0300 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 198N 1186W 34 77 6(83) 1(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 12 198N 1186W 50 44 9(53) X(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) 12 198N 1186W 64 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 24 204N 1195W 34 15 38(53) 4(57) 1(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) 24 204N 1195W 50 4 18(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 24 204N 1195W 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 206N 1202W 34 2 26(28) 9(37) 2(39) 1(40) 1(41) X(41) 36 206N 1202W 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 36 206N 1202W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 206N 1205W 34 1 19(20) 11(31) 2(33) 2(35) 1(36) X(36) 48 206N 1205W 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 206N 1205W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 205N 1210W 34 X 10(10) 9(19) 3(22) 3(25) 1(26) X(26) 72 205N 1210W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 205N 1210W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 200N 1215W 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) 4(16) X(16) 1(17) 96 200N 1215W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 96 200N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 195N 1220W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 1(11) 120 195N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 120 195N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 50 40 35 30 25 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN/KIMBERLAIN/LANDSEA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC