ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006 1800 UTC MON AUG 21 2006 AT 1800Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 38(55) 2(57) 1(58) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 1(23) X(23) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 10(32) 1(33) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 133N 1037W 34 32 16(48) X(48) X(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) 12 133N 1037W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 12 133N 1037W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 143N 1056W 34 1 41(42) 12(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 24 143N 1056W 50 X 8( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 24 143N 1056W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 155N 1075W 34 X 6( 6) 40(46) 13(59) 3(62) X(62) X(62) 36 155N 1075W 50 X X( X) 13(13) 8(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) 36 155N 1075W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 170N 1095W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 34(45) 17(62) X(62) X(62) 48 170N 1095W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 9(23) X(23) X(23) 48 170N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 200N 1135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 35(37) 13(50) 1(51) 72 200N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) 1(19) 72 200N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 96 220N 1165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 22(31) 3(34) 96 220N 1165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) 96 220N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 120 240N 1200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) 120 240N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 120 240N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 45 55 65 75 75 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC