ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 1500 UTC FRI AUG 18 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 169N 1274W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 169N 1274W 50 72 11(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) 12 169N 1274W 64 36 16(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 24 178N 1292W 34 28 54(82) 6(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 24 178N 1292W 50 2 39(41) 8(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 24 178N 1292W 64 X 17(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 36 187N 1308W 34 3 28(31) 27(58) 5(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) 36 187N 1308W 50 X 4( 4) 17(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 36 187N 1308W 64 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 48 196N 1323W 34 1 6( 7) 19(26) 11(37) 3(40) 1(41) X(41) 48 196N 1323W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) 48 196N 1323W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 210N 1345W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 1(14) 1(15) 72 210N 1345W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 210N 1345W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 220N 1370W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 96 220N 1370W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 220N 1370W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 225N 1400W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 225N 1400W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 225N 1400W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 80 70 60 45 30 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC