ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 1500 UTC WED AUG 16 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 134N 1187W 34 93 4(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 12 134N 1187W 50 46 19(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 12 134N 1187W 64 16 10(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 24 139N 1207W 34 14 68(82) 8(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 24 139N 1207W 50 1 39(40) 13(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) 24 139N 1207W 64 X 18(18) 8(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 36 146N 1227W 34 2 22(24) 43(67) 11(78) 3(81) X(81) X(81) 36 146N 1227W 50 X 3( 3) 28(31) 10(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) 36 146N 1227W 64 X 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 48 153N 1246W 34 X 4( 4) 26(30) 27(57) 13(70) X(70) X(70) 48 153N 1246W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 8(32) X(32) X(32) 48 153N 1246W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) 72 170N 1285W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 26(32) 6(38) 1(39) 72 170N 1285W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) 72 170N 1285W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 190N 1320W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) 96 190N 1320W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 96 190N 1320W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 205N 1350W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 120 205N 1350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 205N 1350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 75 80 80 65 45 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC