ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 800 AM PDT TUE AUG 22 2006 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE IS WEAKENING AND HECTOR APPEARS WELL ON ITS WAY TO BECOMING NOTHING BUT A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. NONETHELESS...AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS FROM 0336Z SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM IS STILL PRODUCING MARGINAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 35 KT. IT IS ASSUMED THAT HECTOR WILL BE UNABLE TO REGENERATE SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION AND THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL SPIN DOWN. HECTOR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH THE LOW COMPLETELY DISSIPATING IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. THE MOTION OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS APPEARS TO BE TRENDING FASTER...AS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BECOMES DETACHED FROM WHAT IS LEFT OF THE DEEP CONVECTION AND IS STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED. HECTOR IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SPEED. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 22.8N 137.0W 35 KT 12HR VT 23/0000Z 22.9N 138.2W 30 KT...DISSIPATED 24HR VT 23/1200Z 23.0N 140.2W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 24/0000Z 23.1N 142.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC