ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082006 2100 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 6(21) 1(22) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 150N 1065W 34 47 4(51) 1(52) X(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) 12 150N 1065W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 150N 1065W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 153N 1079W 34 3 31(34) 9(43) 2(45) X(45) 1(46) X(46) 24 153N 1079W 50 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 24 153N 1079W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 157N 1095W 34 X 7( 7) 25(32) 9(41) 3(44) X(44) X(44) 36 157N 1095W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 36 157N 1095W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 160N 1112W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 19(29) 8(37) 1(38) X(38) 48 160N 1112W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 48 160N 1112W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 170N 1145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 5(25) 2(27) 72 170N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 72 170N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 185N 1175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 3(15) 96 185N 1175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 96 185N 1175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 210N 1195W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 120 210N 1195W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 210N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 45 40 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC