ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082006 0900 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 2(17) X(17) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 9(20) 2(22) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 143N 1056W 34 33 12(45) 2(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) 12 143N 1056W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 12 143N 1056W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 150N 1068W 34 4 30(34) 9(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) 24 150N 1068W 50 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 24 150N 1068W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 155N 1083W 34 1 8( 9) 24(33) 10(43) 3(46) X(46) X(46) 36 155N 1083W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 36 155N 1083W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 159N 1098W 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 17(31) 10(41) X(41) 1(42) 48 159N 1098W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) 48 159N 1098W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 168N 1132W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 19(23) 6(29) 2(31) 72 168N 1132W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 72 168N 1132W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 180N 1170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17) 96 180N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 96 180N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 210N 1195W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 120 210N 1195W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 210N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 50 45 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/STEWART NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC