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Hurricane DANIEL (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
2100 UTC WED JUL 19 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 121N 1215W 34 97   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 121N 1215W 50 80   9(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 12 121N 1215W 64 47  16(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 
 24 125N 1229W 34 52  37(89)   6(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 125N 1229W 50  7  53(60)  10(70)   2(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
 24 125N 1229W 64  2  33(35)  11(46)   2(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
 
 36 129N 1245W 34  3  39(42)  34(76)   8(84)   3(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 36 129N 1245W 50  X  11(11)  34(45)  10(55)   3(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 36 129N 1245W 64  X   3( 3)  22(25)   8(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
 48 134N 1263W 34  1   5( 6)  30(36)  27(63)  13(76)   1(77)   X(77)
 48 134N 1263W 50  X   X( X)  11(11)  22(33)   9(42)   1(43)   X(43)
 48 134N 1263W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)  12(16)   6(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
 
 72 145N 1300W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  31(39)   7(46)   2(48)
 72 145N 1300W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   3(18)   1(19)
 72 145N 1300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 96 155N 1330W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  12(23)   3(26)
 96 155N 1330W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)
 96 155N 1330W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 170N 1360W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
120 170N 1360W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 170N 1360W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     95    105     105      95      80      65      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART                                                   
                                                                    
                                                                    
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