ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE CARLOTTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042006 0900 UTC SAT JUL 15 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 192N 1179W 34 87 6(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 12 192N 1179W 50 46 11(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) 12 192N 1179W 64 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 24 193N 1197W 34 9 49(58) 6(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 24 193N 1197W 50 1 17(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 24 193N 1197W 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 195N 1215W 34 2 12(14) 17(31) 3(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) 36 195N 1215W 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 36 195N 1215W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 195N 1230W 34 1 3( 4) 8(12) 5(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20) 48 195N 1230W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 48 195N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 195N 1255W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 72 195N 1255W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 195N 1255W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 195N 1280W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 96 195N 1280W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 195N 1280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 50 40 30 20 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC