ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006 0900Z MON MAY 29 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 2(13) X(13) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 1(14) L CARDENAS 34 1 14(15) 11(26) 5(31) 4(35) 1(36) X(36) L CARDENAS 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) ZIHUATANEJO 34 8 17(25) 8(33) 3(36) 2(38) 1(39) X(39) ZIHUATANEJO 50 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ACAPULCO 34 13 7(20) 3(23) 2(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) P MALDONADO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 164N 1012W 34 55 16(71) 3(74) 2(76) X(76) 1(77) X(77) 12 164N 1012W 50 9 8(17) 2(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 12 164N 1012W 64 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 164N 1020W 34 13 37(50) 8(58) 3(61) 2(63) 1(64) X(64) 24 164N 1020W 50 2 13(15) 6(21) 1(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) 24 164N 1020W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 164N 1027W 34 3 26(29) 18(47) 4(51) 4(55) 1(56) X(56) 36 164N 1027W 50 X 7( 7) 7(14) 3(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20) 36 164N 1027W 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 164N 1034W 34 1 14(15) 20(35) 8(43) 6(49) 2(51) 1(52) 48 164N 1034W 50 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 5(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17) 48 164N 1034W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 72 163N 1047W 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 10(24) 9(33) 4(37) 1(38) 72 163N 1047W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) 72 163N 1047W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 160N 1060W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 9(19) 6(25) 2(27) 96 160N 1060W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 96 160N 1060W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 120 160N 1075W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) 3(17) 120 160N 1075W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 120 160N 1075W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 50 55 55 50 50 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER STEWART $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC