ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006 0300 UTC SUN OCT 01 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 29(43) 1(44) X(44) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 50(51) 12(63) X(63) X(63) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 9(26) X(26) X(26) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 35(38) 5(43) X(43) X(43) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 15(15) 10(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 340N 605W 34 95 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 340N 605W 50 67 14(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 12 340N 605W 64 32 9(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) 24 372N 602W 34 4 78(82) 7(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 24 372N 602W 50 X 40(40) 10(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) 24 372N 602W 64 X 14(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 36 420N 579W 34 X 2( 2) 61(63) 11(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) 36 420N 579W 50 X X( X) 21(21) 9(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 36 420N 579W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 468N 535W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 51(52) 11(63) X(63) X(63) 48 468N 535W 50 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 8(24) X(24) X(24) 48 468N 535W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 530N 430W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 9(44) X(44) 72 530N 430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) 72 530N 430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 96 560N 300W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) X(24) 96 560N 300W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) 96 560N 300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 70 65 60 60 50 45 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Sunday, 01-Oct-2006 02:55:02 UTC