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Hurricane HELENE (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD               
2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   3(17)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 252N  552W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 252N  552W 50 93   4(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 252N  552W 64 70  11(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
 
 24 267N  565W 34 67  28(95)   2(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 24 267N  565W 50 13  60(73)  10(83)   X(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 24 267N  565W 64  2  46(48)  11(59)   2(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 
 36 289N  568W 34  6  44(50)  35(85)   7(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 36 289N  568W 50  X  13(13)  43(56)  10(66)   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 36 289N  568W 64  X   3( 3)  29(32)  10(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 
 48 320N  563W 34  X   2( 2)  27(29)  39(68)  13(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 48 320N  563W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)  33(39)  13(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 48 320N  563W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)  18(20)   7(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
 
 72 390N  515W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  51(52)  13(65)   X(65)
 72 390N  515W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  26(26)   9(35)   1(36)
 72 390N  515W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   4(17)   X(17)
 
 
 96 453N  410W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  36(37)  11(48)
 96 453N  410W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   6(23)
 96 453N  410W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)
 
 
120 490N  305W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  21(28)
120 490N  305W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)
120 490N  305W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     95    100      95      90      90      80      70
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MUSHER                                           
                                                                    
                                                                    
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