ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0900 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 159N 421W 34 81 5(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) 12 159N 421W 50 9 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 12 159N 421W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 170N 442W 34 9 56(65) 9(74) 2(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) 24 170N 442W 50 X 16(16) 9(25) 1(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) 24 170N 442W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 180N 460W 34 1 21(22) 33(55) 9(64) 5(69) 1(70) X(70) 36 180N 460W 50 X 2( 2) 16(18) 9(27) 3(30) 1(31) X(31) 36 180N 460W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 1(10) 48 190N 474W 34 X 4( 4) 28(32) 19(51) 12(63) 2(65) 1(66) 48 190N 474W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) 8(27) 2(29) 1(30) 48 190N 474W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) 72 210N 500W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 28(45) 9(54) 3(57) 72 210N 500W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 6(24) 1(25) 72 210N 500W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 2(13) 96 230N 525W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 18(37) 7(44) 96 230N 525W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 3(19) 96 230N 525W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 120 245N 545W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) 9(33) 120 245N 545W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) 120 245N 545W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 50 55 65 75 80 85 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 09:00:02 UTC