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Hurricane GORDON (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
0900 UTC MON SEP 18 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
36.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 378N  465W 34 94   4(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 378N  465W 50 57  14(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 12 378N  465W 64 21   6(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
 24 387N  407W 34  1  78(79)   7(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
 24 387N  407W 50  X  35(35)  10(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 24 387N  407W 64  X  13(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
 36 389N  338W 34  X   1( 1)  58(59)  11(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
 36 389N  338W 50  X   X( X)  19(19)   9(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 36 389N  338W 64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 48 390N  260W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  44(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 48 390N  260W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 390N  260W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     65      60      60       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 18-Sep-2006 08:50:02 UTC