ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 24(39) 2(41) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) 11(49) X(49) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) X(18) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 33(35) 5(40) 1(41) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 4(28) X(28) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 3(20) X(20) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) 1(25) X(25) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) 2(26) X(26) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 27(51) 1(52) X(52) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 1(21) X(21) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) 1(18) X(18) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 50 51 5(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) BERMUDA 64 13 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 328N 659W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 328N 659W 50 87 6(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 12 328N 659W 64 66 13(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) 24 350N 648W 34 75 23(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 24 350N 648W 50 4 66(70) 9(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) 24 350N 648W 64 1 46(47) 11(58) X(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) 36 375N 633W 34 2 47(49) 40(89) 5(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 36 375N 633W 50 X 6( 6) 46(52) 9(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) 36 375N 633W 64 X 2( 2) 28(30) 7(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) 48 404N 609W 34 X 1( 1) 30(31) 41(72) 9(81) X(81) X(81) 48 404N 609W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 31(34) 8(42) X(42) X(42) 48 404N 609W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) 72 460N 535W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 43(44) 8(52) X(52) 72 460N 535W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19) 72 460N 535W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 96 480N 430W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 6(32) 96 480N 430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) 96 480N 430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 120 490N 280W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 120 490N 280W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 120 490N 280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 85 90 85 75 60 50 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 UTC