ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006 0900 UTC FRI AUG 25 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 241N 446W 34 53 13(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) 12 241N 446W 50 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 12 241N 446W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 258N 473W 34 X 44(44) 12(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) 24 258N 473W 50 X 9( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 24 258N 473W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 280N 495W 34 X 2( 2) 40(42) 10(52) 4(56) X(56) 1(57) 36 280N 495W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 36 280N 495W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 300N 505W 34 X X( X) 14(14) 27(41) 12(53) 1(54) X(54) 48 300N 505W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 7(21) X(21) 1(22) 48 300N 505W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 72 335N 500W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 28(38) 10(48) 1(49) 72 335N 500W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) X(17) 72 335N 500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 96 390N 430W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 8(34) 96 390N 430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 96 390N 430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 120 450N 350W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 120 450N 350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 120 450N 350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 50 55 55 55 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:35 UTC