ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1500Z SUN JUN 11 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) HARTFORD CO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 1(16) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 2(15) X(15) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 1(15) X(15) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 15(26) X(26) X(26) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 18(35) X(35) X(35) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 14(35) X(35) X(35) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 15(29) 1(30) X(30) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 11(22) X(22) X(22) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) FT MYERS FL 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 13(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VENICE FL 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 17(31) 4(35) 1(36) X(36) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TAMPA FL 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 19(32) 8(40) X(40) X(40) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 19(30) 7(37) 1(38) X(38) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) APALACHICOLA 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 11(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 34 1 4( 5) 19(24) 11(35) 3(38) X(38) X(38) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 8(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 290N 870W 34 2 6( 8) 12(20) 4(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOBILE AL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURAS LA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 890W 34 5 7(12) 4(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 249N 887W 34 75 10(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) 12 249N 887W 50 13 7(20) X(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 12 249N 887W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 260N 878W 34 66 18(84) 3(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) 24 260N 878W 50 3 15(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 24 260N 878W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 273N 858W 34 9 19(28) 29(57) 5(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) 36 273N 858W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 36 273N 858W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 285N 835W 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 20(39) 5(44) X(44) X(44) 48 285N 835W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) 48 285N 835W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 320N 770W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 4(24) X(24) 72 320N 770W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 72 320N 770W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 390N 670W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 5(21) 96 390N 670W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 96 390N 670W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 460N 540W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 120 460N 540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 120 460N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 45 45 40 40 40 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER PASCH $$ NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:33 UTC