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Tropical Storm CARLOS (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003

...CARLOS VERY NEAR THE COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG
THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF CARLOS.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.7 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES...20 KM...SOUTH OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND ABOUT 45
MILES...70 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ANGEL.
 
CARLOS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER
TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.  THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM SHOULD
REACH THE COAST IN JUST A FEW HOURS...AND THEN MOVE INLAND OR ALONG
THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNLESS THE CENTER
MOVES INLAND...IN WHICH CASE WEAKENING WILL OCCUR.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF CARLOS.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...15.7 N... 97.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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