ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192003 1500Z SAT OCT 18 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 47.7W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 80SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 47.7W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 47.7W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.4N 47.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.1N 48.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.8N 48.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.5N 49.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.5N 51.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 21.5N 52.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 54.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 47.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:28 UTC