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Tropical Storm MINDY (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM MINDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182003
1500Z SAT OCT 11 2003
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS
DISCONTINUED TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.  MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  71.6W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  71.6W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  71.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 23.8N  72.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.1N  71.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 28.0N  70.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 30.6N  66.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 37.3N  59.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 43.0N  51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 47.5N  42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N  71.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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