ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANNY DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SAT JUL 19 2003 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES AND MICROWAVE DATA REVEAL THE EYE FEATURE ASSOCIATED WITH DANNY AND T-NUMBERS FROM ALL THREE AGENCIES SUPPORT 65 KNOTS. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS OVER COOL WATERS AND WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN VERY SOON. DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS AROUND A STATIONARY SUBTROPICAL HIGH. THE CYCLONE OR ITS REMANTS ARE FORECAST TO LOOP AROUND THE HIGH AND EVENTUALLY MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. IT COULD RE-INTENSIFY AFTER 48 HOURS OR SO WHILE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER WARMER WATER AND WITH LESS VERTICAL SHEAR. THIS POSSIBILITY IS NOT YET REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AS ITS CHANCE OF OCCURRING APPEARS TO BE SLIM. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 42.4N 46.8W 65 KT 12HR VT 20/0000Z 43.1N 43.9W 50 KT 24HR VT 20/1200Z 43.0N 40.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 21/0000Z 41.5N 38.0W 30 KT 48HR VT 21/1200Z 39.0N 37.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 22/1200Z 36.5N 37.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 23/1200Z 34.5N 40.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 24/1200Z 33.5N 44.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:49:56 UTC