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Post-Tropical Cyclone Carlotta Public Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ34 KNHC 190231
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Carlotta Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
1000 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...CARLOTTA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW BUT STILL PRODUCING
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 103.6W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM W OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Carlotta was located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 103.6 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph
(6 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue tonight
into Tuesday morning. On the forecast track, the center will be
near or over the southwest coast of Mexico tonight and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 25 mph (35 km/h) with
higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast, and Carlotta is
expected to dissipate on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero, Michoacan and Colima coasts, with isolated
higher amounts of 10 inches possible.  These rains are likely to
produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in
areas of higher terrain.  Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero
and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated
amounts of 4 inches are forecast.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Carlotta. For additional information on the remnant low,
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Stewart



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Page last modified: Tuesday, 19-Jun-2018 02:31:56 UTC