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Hurricane Teddy Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT25 KNHC 192034
TCMAT5

HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
2100 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  60.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......130NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT.......220NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 360SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  60.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  59.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 27.9N  61.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 29.1N  62.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 30.7N  62.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 33.6N  61.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW 110NW.
34 KT...320NE 230SE 240SW 290NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 38.3N  61.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...170NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
34 KT...350NE 330SE 270SW 320NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 41.9N  62.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.
34 KT...350NE 310SE 250SW 270NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 47.7N  58.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 55.5N  45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N  60.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO



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Page last modified: Saturday, 19-Sep-2020 20:34:36 UTC