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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erick Forecast Discussion (Text)


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363 
WTPZ45 KNHC 200233
TCDEP5
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Erick Discussion Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052025
900 PM CST Thu Jun 19 2025
 
Erick has continued to rapidly weaken over Mexico, as the system is
no longer producing organized convection and the circulation has
become poorly defined.  Based on these developments, the cyclone is
downgraded to a remnant low pressure area and this will be the last
advisory. A 12-h forecast point is included, but the circulation
may well dissipate before 12 h.
 
Although Erick is no longer a tropical cyclone, heavy rains will
linger over portions of southern and southwestern Mexico through
tonight.
 
This is the last tropical cyclone discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center on this system.  Future information on this system
can be found in products from the Meteorological Service of Mexico.
 
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1. Erick will continue to produce heavy rainfall across portions of
Southwest Mexico overnight. Life-threatening flooding and mudslides
are likely, especially in areas of steep terrain.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  20/0300Z 18.0N 100.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 12H  20/1200Z 18.7N 102.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
  

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Page last modified: Friday, 20-Jun-2025 10:30:10 UTC