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Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTPZ45 KNHC 091438
TCDEP5
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Octave Discussion Number  38
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP152025
800 AM MST Thu Oct 09 2025
 
Octave's low-level center has become exposed due to increasing wind 
shear. The small area of convection that the system had produced 
overnight has collapsed. Given the wind shear, Octave is not 
forecast to regain convection and thus is designated as a remnant 
low with an initial intensity of 30 kt. The center of Octave has 
already become a little more ragged on satellite imagery and the 
system is expected to open up into a trough and dissipate later 
today.
 
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  For additional information on the remnant
low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  09/1500Z 17.7N 110.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Kelly
  

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