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Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTPZ41 KNHC 020235
TCDEP1

Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia Discussion Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062018
800 PM PDT Sun Jul 01 2018

Emilia lost all of its deep convection shortly after 1800 UTC, and
the system is now only a swirl of low-level clouds.  Since the
cyclone is over cool 24 degree C waters and in a stable airmass,
significant deep convection is not expected to return.  Therefore,
Emilia is now classified as a remnant low, and this is the last
advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system.

The remnant low is moving west-northwestward at 11 kt within the
low-level trade winds, and this general motion is expected to
continue during the next day or so.  A turn to the west is forecast
to occur before the low dissipates in 2 to 3 days.

For additional information on the remnant low of Emilia please see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web
at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  02/0300Z 20.3N 125.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  02/1200Z 21.0N 127.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  03/0000Z 21.9N 129.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  03/1200Z 22.5N 131.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  04/0000Z 23.0N 134.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  05/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



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Page last modified: Monday, 02-Jul-2018 02:35:33 UTC