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Post-Tropical Cyclone Flossie Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTPZ41 KNHC 032030
TCDEP1
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Flossie Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062025
200 PM MST Thu Jul 03 2025
 
Flossie has lacked organized deep convection for more than 12 hours
and no longer meets the criteria of a tropical cyclone.  Therefore,
the system is now considered a post-tropical low, and this is the
last NHC advisory.  A 1705 UTC ASCAT-B pass indicated that the
maximum winds have decreased to around 35 kt.
 
The post-tropical cyclone is moving northwestward at 9 kt.  This
general motion, within the low-level flow, is expected to continue 
for the next couple of days.  A combination of cool waters and dry 
air should lead to the dissipation of the post-tropical low this 
weekend.
 
For additional information on the post-tropical low please see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  03/2100Z 21.2N 112.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  04/0600Z 22.1N 113.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  04/1800Z 23.2N 115.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  05/0600Z 24.1N 116.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  05/1800Z 24.7N 118.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
  

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Page last modified: Friday, 04-Jul-2025 04:30:09 UTC