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Remnants of Karen Forecast Discussion (Text)


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702 
WTNT42 KNHC 272035
TCDAT2

Remnants Of Karen Discussion Number  23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122019
500 PM AST Fri Sep 27 2019

Scatterometer data from a few hours ago indicated that Karen's
circulation has opened up into a surface trough of low pressure.
In addition, the associated convection has continued to lose
organization.  Therefore, the system is no longer a tropical
cyclone, and this will be the final advisory.  Maximum winds, based
on the ASCAT pass, remain near 30 kt.

Although an area of low pressure may persist for a few more days,
the circulation should remain poorly organized, and the remnants
are not expected to produce any significant convection.  The
surface trough is expected to move little during the next 24 hours,
but it should then begin moving westward by 48 hours as high
pressure builds over the western Atlantic.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  27/2100Z 29.3N  58.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  28/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg



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Page last modified: Friday, 27-Sep-2019 20:35:35 UTC