Tropical Storm Vance

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 271439
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
800 AM MST Tue Oct 27 2026
 
...VANCE IS A POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL STORM...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 107.7W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern and west-central coasts of Mexico 
and the southern Baja California Peninsula should monitor the 
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was 
located near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 107.7 West. Vance is 
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A northwestward 
motion is expected to continue today, followed by a gradual turn 
toward the north through midweek.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with 
higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 
couple of days, and Vance could become a post-tropical cyclone 
during this time if it is unable to sustain organized convection.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) 
primarily to the southeast of the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4
inches of rain across central and southern Sinaloa, western Durango,
and northwestern Nayarit, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches
possible over central and southern Sinaloa. This rainfall may
produce flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep
terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect coastal portions of
southern, southwestern, and west-central Mexico during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart