Tropical Storm Vance

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 270231
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
800 PM MST Mon Oct 26 2026
 
...VANCE DRIFTS WESTWARD AND WEAKENS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 106.3W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern and west-central coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was
located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 106.3 West. Vance is
moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn to the northwest
is expected on Tuesday, followed by a northward turn on Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few 
days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4 
inches of rain, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches possible, 
across southern Sinaloa, southwest Durango, and coastal sections of 
Nayarit and Jalisco.   This rainfall may produce flooding and 
mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance, 
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic 
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect portions of the coast of
southern, southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Katz/Cangialosi