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NHC

Tropical Storm Elida Forecast Advisory

Advisory Number: 16
1500 UTC SAT JUL 18 2026

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 181442
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052026
1500 UTC SAT JUL 18 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 123.3W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 170SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....330NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 123.3W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 123.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.1N 124.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.9N 125.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.0N 126.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.4N 126.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 28.9N 127.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 31.4N 127.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 35.9N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 123.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/CANGIALOSI

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