Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.

Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

NHC

Hurricane Karina Forecast Advisory

Advisory Number: 20
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2026

802 
WTPZ21 KNHC 010834
TCMEP1

HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112026
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.9W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 35SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.9W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.5N 129.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.9N 131.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.3N 133.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.6N 135.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.9N 136.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.2N 138.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.8N 142.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.4N 145.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 70SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 127.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

hurricanes.gov

official website of the US Department of Commerce and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Looking for U.S. government information and services?
Visit USA.gov