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NHC

Tropical Storm Edouard Forecast Discussion

Advisory Number: 6
400 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

000
WTNT45 KNHC 012037
TCDAT5

Tropical Storm Edouard Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
400 PM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

Edouard continued to strengthen through its landfall as a 50-kt
tropical storm in southwestern Cameron Parish, Louisiana, at 1920
UTC. Current radar data shows convective bands with heavy rainfall
and gusty winds spreading over portions of southeastern Texas on the
west side of the storm. Based on the latest surface observations, it
appears a little weakening has occurred since landfall, and the
initial intensity is lowered slightly to 45 kt. A Tropical Storm
Warning remains in effect for portions of the Upper Texas coast and
southwestern Louisiana.

Edouard is moving toward the northwest (305/7 kt) and will remain on
this heading through early Wednesday, bringing the center farther
inland over eastern Texas. No notable changes were made to the NHC
track forecast. Quick weakening is expected now that the center is
inland, and Edouard is likely to become a tropical depression
tonight and dissipate by Wednesday night. Even though the system is
inland, the threat of heavy rainfall and flash flooding will
continue through the overnight hours.


Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm conditions associated with Edouard will continue
along the Upper Texas and extreme southwestern Louisiana coasts
within the warning area through this evening.

2. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through
east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana through Thursday
morning as Edouard tracks inland. Flash flooding is likely across
this region, especially in urban areas. Significant flash flooding
is possible. River flooding may also be possible.

3. Minor coastal flooding is still possible along the Upper Texas
and southwestern Louisiana coasts through this evening.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/2100Z 29.9N 94.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
12H 02/0600Z 30.7N 94.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 02/1800Z 31.6N 95.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

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