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Tropical Storm Lala
Tropical Storm Lala Forecast Discussion
Advisory Number: 56
1100 PM HST Tue Aug 25 2026
621
WTPA42 PHFO 260835
TCDCP2
Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 56
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Tue Aug 25 2026
The satellite presentation of Lala has slowly deteriorated tonight.
Water vapor imagery shows some drier air has worked its way into the
circulation, which has led to diminished convection and warming
infrared cloud tops near and around the center. The Dvorak current
intensity estimates from JTWC and HFO have decreased to T2.5/35 kt,
and so the initial intensity is lowered to 40 kt.
Fixes from recent AMSR3 and GMI passive microwave images suggest
Lala has resumed a slow northwestward motion (310/4 kt), steered by
a mid-level ridge just to the northeast of the storm. This ridge
should keep Lala on a slow northwestward heading while the storm
approaches the International Date Line (IDL). The updated NHC track
forecast has been nudged to the right of the previous one, in
response to an eastward shift in the latest track guidance envelope.
Lala will remain in a fairly dry mid-level environment while
encountering increasing shear over cool waters during the next
couple of days. Thus, continued weakening is forecast, and Lala is
predicted to lose organized convection and become a post-tropical
low by 48 h as it reaches the IDL. Post-tropical Lala is forecast to
accelerate deeper into the mid-latitudes over the weekend, and it
should open up into a trough over the northern Pacific by 120 h.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 26/0900Z 35.4N 177.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 35.9N 178.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 36.6N 178.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 27/1800Z 37.4N 179.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 28/0600Z 38.0N 180.0E 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 28/1800Z 38.6N 179.0E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/0600Z 39.5N 177.6E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 30/0600Z 44.5N 174.5E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Reinhart