Text Products
Tropical Storm Nolo
Public Advisory #16
2 hr & 20 min ago • 500 AM HST
ES
Adviso Publico #16
hace 2 h y 20 min • 500 AM HST
Forecast Advisory #16
2 hr & 20 min ago • 1500 UTC
Forecast Discussion #16
2 hr & 20 min ago • 500 AM HST
ES
Pronóstico Discusión #16
hace 2 h y 20 min • 500 AM HST
Wind Speed Probabilities #16
2 hr & 20 min ago • 1500 UTC
NWS Local Products
2 hr & 9 min ago • 511 AM HST
FEATURED
Key Messages
FEATURED
ES
Mensajes Claves
Wind Speed Probabilities
Arrival Time of Winds
Wind History
Interactive
Interactive Cone
Warnings/Cone Static Images
Interactive
Warnings/Cone Interactive Map
Experimental Cone Static Images
Interactive
Experimental Cone Interactive Map
Warnings and Surface Wind
Peak Surge
Rainfall Potential
Tropical Storm Nolo Wind Speed Probabilities
Advisory Number: 16
1500 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
253
FOPA12 PHFO 241449
PWSCP2
TROPICAL STORM NOLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP152026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17)
15N 155W 34 51 15(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
15N 155W 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
HILO 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 27(31) 21(52) X(52) X(52)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11)
HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) X(28) X(28)
BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
18N 156W 34 X 11(11) 46(57) 14(71) 21(92) X(92) X(92)
18N 156W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 15(27) 35(62) 1(63) X(63)
18N 156W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 31(43) 1(44) X(44)
SOUTH POINT 34 X 1( 1) 20(21) 36(57) 32(89) 1(90) X(90)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 40(57) X(57) X(57)
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 27(33) X(33) X(33)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 39(59) 1(60) X(60)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16)
KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) X(15)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BUOY 51002 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 41(47) 3(50) X(50)
BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 3(22) X(22)
BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 37(55) 1(56)
20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) X(20)
20N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 2(23)
21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
21N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 59(79) 2(81)
BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 50(54) 2(56)
BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 2(33)
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19)
NIHOA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NIHOA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 50(60)
22N 164W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28)
22N 164W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15)
NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37)
NECKER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14)
NECKER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 29(48)
20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23)
20N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13)
25N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20)
25N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
25N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29)
FR FRIG SHOALS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11)
FR FRIG SHOALS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GARDNER PINN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE