000
AXPZ20 KNHC 080919
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Wed Apr 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough extends from 09N85W to 05N96.5W. The ITCZ
continues from 05N96.5W to 04N120W to 04N140W. A second ITCZ is
south of the Equator and runs from 03S104W to 02.5S140W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05.5N to 10N, east of
105W and between 113W and 127W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Fresh to strong N to NE winds prevail across the Gulf of
Tehuantepec along with seas 6 to 8 ft. Otherwise, a weak ridge
dominates the offshore waters of Baja California. This pattern
supports moderate to fresh NW to N winds with moderate seas.
Gentle to locally moderate NW winds and slight seas are noted in
the Gulf of California. Elsewhere across the Mexican offshore
waters, light to gentle winds and moderate seas, primarily in
southerly swell, prevail.
For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong northerly winds are
expected in the Tehuantepec region the remainder of the week with
seas building up to 7 or 8 ft. Moderate to locally fresh NW
winds and moderate seas are forecast off Baja California through
Fri night under the influence of a ridge. Fresh to strong SW
winds may briefly develop in the northern Gulf of California Fri
night ahead of a cold front approaching Baja California Norte,
then moderate to fresh SW winds are expected through the
upcoming weekend. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker
with moderate seas through the next several days.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Moderate to locally fresh gap winds are blowing across the Gulf
of Papagayo and downwind to 88W. Seas are around 4 ft with these
winds. Farther east, moderate N winds and 3 to 4 ft seas are
present in the Gulf of Panama and just south of the Azuero
Peninsula. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas dominate the
remainder of the offshore forecast waters.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong gap winds are expected
during the nighttime and early morning hours in the Papagayo
region and downwind to about 89W through Thu. Toward the
upcoming weekend, winds may increase to 30 kt with seas building
to 8 or 9 ft in the Papagayo area as a stronger high pressure
settles N of the area. Moderate northerly winds are forecast in
the Gulf of Panama through the forecast period. Light to gentle
winds and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
A decaying stationary front is over the NW corner of the
forecast region and extends from 30N134W to 25N140W. Seas are
around 7 ft in the wake of the front. E of front, a 1023 mb high
pressure located near 32N126W extends a ridge across the
remainder of the N waters, particularly N of 19N and W of 110W.
The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressures in
the vicinity of the ITCZ supports moderate to locally fresh winds
in the trade wind zone, W of 110W. Seas of 6 to 7 ft are within
these winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, a surface trough will move into our waters and
merge with the stationary decaying front by Wed night. Then the
front will continue to move eastward across the waters N of 20N
while dissipating by Fri. Gentle to locally moderate winds will
follow the front along with seas 6 to 7 ft. A high pressure
center located ahead of the front will move SE between 120W and
130W and weaken some over the next 48-72 hours. Moderate to
locally fresh trades are expected along the southern periphery of
the ridge through at least Thu.
$$
KRV
