000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261347
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sun Apr 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1300 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A trough axis extends from 09N79W to 07N90W to 08N105W. The
ITCZ extends from 08N105W to 10N126W to beyond 07N140W. A
second ITCZ is south of the discussion waters. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is active from 05N to 07N
between 82W and 85W, from 00N to 04N between 83W and 96W, from
03.4S to 00N between 106W and 113W, and from 09N to 14N between
108W and 140W. Similar convection is active near the coast of
Central America from 12N to 13N between 86W and 90W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
The tail end of a cold front is analyzed across the northern Gulf
of California along 31N. Fresh to strong winds are found on
either side of the front to the north of 29N, along with seas of
4-7 ft. Weak ridging following the front is supporting moderate
to fresh northwest winds over the offshore waters of Baja
California, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Combined
seas are 5-7 ft off Baja California, 3-5 ft off southwest and
southern Mexico, 2-4 ft in the central Gulf of California, and 1-3
ft in the southern Gulf of California.
For the forecast, the winds over the northern Gulf of California will
diminish by this afternoon as the cold front pushes east and weak
ridging builds over the area. The pattern will support moderate
to fresh northwest winds over the Baja California waters through
mid-week, except for moderate to fresh to occasionally strong
winds funneling along the coast of Baja California Sur between
between Cabo San Lazaro and Punta Eugenia tonight through Mon
morning. Elsewhere, mostly light to gentle west to northwest
winds are expected through early next week. Moderate to fresh
winds may develop in the central and southern Gulf of California
by the middle of next week as the pressure gradient tightens
slightly.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Light to gentle variable winds prevail north of the equator along
with seas of 2-4 ft, except 4-6 ft seas south of 08N. Gentle to
moderate southeast winds along with seas of 5-7 ft in long-period
south to southwest swell continue south of the equator.
For the forecast, a light gradient will maintain rather tranquil
conditions over the Central American and Colombian waters
through mid-week while moderate to fresh southeast winds and
moderate long-period south to southwest swell remain offshore
Ecuador. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh in the Gulf of
Papagayo and the Gulf of Panama starting Tue morning.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
The ridge north of 20N is disrupted by a trough extending from
28N125W to 21N130W. Moderate to locally fresh NE wind and 6-7 ft
seas is evident north and west of the trough, with mostly gentle
breezes and 4-6 ft combined seas east of the trough. Moderate to
locally fresh NE trade winds and 5-7 ft seas are ongoing from
11N to 18N west of 1118W, with gentle breezes and 4-6 ft
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the rather weak high pressure across the
region along with persistent troughing over the northwest waters
will generally maintain moderate to occasionally fresh trade
winds from the ITCZ to 20N and west of 120W. Combined seas will
be in the range of 5-7 ft over the western part of the area
through the remainder of the weekend then 4-6 ft across the
entire area early next week, except near 8 ft along 03.4S into
early next week. Seas may build slightly over the waters north of
10N and west of 120W by the middle of next week in new swells.
$$
Lewitsky
