000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020812
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Thu Apr 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough extends from 07.5N78W to 05.5N94W. The ITCZ
extends from 05.5N94W to 03N120W to beyond 04.5N140W. A second
ITCZ extends from S of 03.4S to 03.4S110W to 02.5N116W to beyond
03S120W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 08N
between 80W and 97W, and from 03N to 09N between 128W and 134W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
High pressure is building SE toward northern waters, causing
some locally fresh NW winds offshore Cabo San Lucas and Cabo
Corrientes per recent ASCAT scatterometer data. Otherwise mainly
gentle to moderate winds prevail. Moderate seas prevail, except
for slight seas in the Gulf of California.
For the forecast, fresh winds will continue pulsing near Cabo
Corrientes and Cabo San Lucas through early this morning before
diminishing. Fresh to locally strong NW winds will dominate
offshore Baja California this evening into Fri as high pressure
builds W of the peninsula. Similar winds are likely to redevelop
there early next week. Fresh NW-N winds will pulse in the
northern Gulf of California Fri afternoon. NW swell will bring
locally rough seas off Baja California Norte Fri through Sat
night. Looking ahead, strong to near gale-force N gap winds will
develop in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sun night into Mon night,
building seas to rough.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Moderate to locally fresh NE-E gap winds prevail over the
Papagayo region. Winds are light to gentle elsewhere. Slight seas
are offshore Colombia, with moderate seas elsewhere N of the
Equator, and rough seas in S-SW swell S of the Equator from
Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands.
For the forecast, fresh winds will pulse nightly in the Papagayo
region through the period. Large S-SW swell spreading into the
waters from offshore Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands will reach
all area waters later today. This swell will support seas to
rough from offshore Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands through
early Fri. Seas will then very gradually subside across the
waters through the weekend.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
Low pressure is just W of the NW waters near 23.5N145W at 1014
mb. Broad high pressure prevails over the waters N of the ITCZ
with gentle to moderate trades across the open waters, mainly
light to gentle S of the ITCZ and E of 115W. Moderate seas
prevail through the basin, except rough seas S of 03N and E of
120W in S-SW swell.
For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will dominate the open
waters through this morning as weak high pressure across much of
the area slowly builds into the Baja California waters. Broad low
pressure and troughing will extend from W of 140W eastward into
the NW waters later today, resulting in developing fresh to
locally strong NE-E winds N of 25.5N and W of 133W and locally
rough seas. These conditions will then drift N through Fri before
departing. Large southerly swell will reach 10N later today,
then gradually subside. The pressure gradient will likely tighten
N of the ITCZ to 20N and W of 110W by the end of the week through
the weekend, increasing trades to moderate to locally fresh,
with seas building locally to rough as a result. Northerly swell
will likely build seas to rough just S of 30N in the N-central
waters by early Fri into the weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
