000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261606
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sat Jul 26 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1550 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed near 110W from 04N to 16N, moving
westward around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
04N to 12N between 106W to 119W.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
The monsoon trough extends from 10N86W to 11N110W to 11N140W.
Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 16N E of 106W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is from 05N to 15N
between 120W and 139W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
The pressure gradient between a 1007 mb low over the northern
Gulf of California and surface ridging to the west of the Baja
California offshore waters is supporting moderate to fresh NW
winds N of Cabo San Lazaro with 5 to 8 ft in northerly swell.
Moderate to fresh N to NE winds prevail in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec with 5-6 ft seas. Light to gentle winds prevail
elsewhere along with 3-4 ft seas in southerly swell, except 1-2
ft seas in the Gulf of California.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW winds will continue
offshore of Baja California north of Cabo San Lazaro through
mid-week as the pressure gradient builds between troughing over
the Gulf of California and high pressure to the west. Locally
strong NW winds are likely N of Punta Eugenia through the period.
Pulsing fresh to strong gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will
continue through Wed as high pressure builds southward through
Mexico.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Moderate to fresh NE winds are occurring in the Gulf of Papagayo
as a tight pressure gradient prevails over western Caribbean.
Gentle to moderate southerly winds are elsewhere S of the monsoon
and between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands along with moderate
seas in S swell. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere across the
Central America offshore waters with seas to 4 ft in S swell.
Scattered showers are offshore of Panama and Costa Rica.
For the forecast, fresh NE to E winds will continue to pulse in
the Gulf of Papagayo into next week as low pressure prevails in
the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh SW winds will
continue south of the monsoon trough through the weekend, then
diminish slightly. Moderate seas in SW swell are expected across
the Central and South American waters into next week.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
Surface ridging extends through much of the waters north of the
monsoon trough. Light to gentle winds are noted north of 25N and
west of 125W. Farther south, moderate to fresh NE winds and
rough seas from 10N to 20N west of 120W. Moderate to fresh SE
winds are occurring south of the monsoon trough. Seas are
generally moderate.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh N to NE winds will prevail
north of the monsoon trough to 25N, expanding farther north
through the weekend as high pressure strengthens north of the
area. Rough seas generated by fresh winds will occur from 10N to
15N west of 130W though Sun, then rough seas may develop south
of the monsoon trough on Sun night through early next week.
$$
Ramos
