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AXPZ20 KNHC 291530
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Wed Apr 29 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough axis extends from 08N81W to 09N88W to 06N97W.
An ITCZ extends from 06N97W to 08N124W to beyond 05N140W.
Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is seen near the
ITCZ from 08N to 14N between 114W and 134W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Ridging off Baja California combined with troughing over northwest
Mexico supports moderate to fresh NW to N winds and seas of 4 to
7 ft off the peninsula. Moderate NW winds with 3 to 4 ft seas
are seen across the central and southern Gulf of California, and
light to gentle winds and seas at 1 to 2 ft dominate the rest of
the Gulf. Light to gentle winds with 4 to 6 ft seas in mixed
moderate swells prevail for the offshore waters of central and
southern Mexico.

For the forecast, a broad surface ridge building southeastward
from a high west of the U.S. will cause moderate to fresh NW to
N winds west of Baja California through Thu night. W to NW fresh
to strong winds are expected in the Gulf of California Thu and
Thu night. Strong to near- gale force gap winds along with rough
seas will impact the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sun through Mon.

....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh NE to E gap winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present at the
Papagayo region. Moderate N winds with 3 to 4 ft seas are noted
at the Gulf of Panama. Gentle S winds and 4 to 7 ft seas in
moderate S swell persist in waters near the Galapagos Islands and
off Ecuador. Light to gentle winds with 2 to 4 ft seas prevail
for the remainder offshore waters in Central America and off
Colombia.

For the forecast, fresh NE to E winds during nighttime are
anticipated to continue in the Papagayo region through Thu night.
Northerly winds at the Gulf of Panama will pulse to fresh again
tonight. Long-period S swell is going to maintain moderate seas
near the Galapagos Islands and off Ecuador through this weekend.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Tightened gradient between a surface trough near 29N130W and a
broad surface ridge to the northwest is keeping fresh NE to E
winds and seas of 5 to 8 ft north of 22N and west of 125W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted near this feature. Mainly
moderate NE to E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are found north of the
ITCZ to near 22N and west of 115W. Gentle with locally moderate
E to SE winds are noted south of the ITCZ. Seas are 6 to 7 ft in
mixed SE and NW swell south of the Equator, and 4 to 7 ft
elsewhere south of the ITCZ.

For the forecast, winds south of the ITCZ will become light to
gentle by Fri. Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate seas will
prevail north of the ITCZ.

$$
Konarik

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