319
AXPZ20 KNHC 102125
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Fri Apr 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 04N93W. The ITCZ continues
from 04N93W to 06N120W to 04N140W. A second ITCZ is south of the
Equator and runs from 05S85W to 04N105W to 01S120W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection can be found from 02N to
08N E of 90W to the coast of Colombia, and from 03N to 10N W of
120W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Fresh to strong N winds are noted across the Gulf of Tehuantepec
and downwind to 14N. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these winds. A ridge
continues to dominate the offshore waters of Baja California
supporting gentle to moderate NW to N winds with moderate seas.
Light to gentle winds prevail across most of the Gulf of California.
Elsewhere across the Mexican offshore waters, light to gentle winds
and moderate seas, primarily in southerly swell, prevail.
For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong northerly winds are
forecast in the Tehuantepec region through early Sun morning,
with seas up to 9 ft. Afterwards, mainly moderate to fresh N
winds are expected through Tue. Moderate to locally fresh NW
winds and moderate seas are forecast off Baja California through
the middle of next week. Fresh to locally strong SW to W winds
are forecast in the northern Gulf of California tonight through
Sun night ahead of a couple of frontal boundaries approaching
Baja California Norte. Seas will build up to 5 or 6 ft with
these winds. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker with
moderate seas through the middle of next week.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Fresh to strong gap winds prevail across the Gulf of Papagayo
and downwind to near 90W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these winds.
Farther east, moderate to locally fresh N winds and seas of 3 to
5 ft are present in the Gulf of Panama, and downstream of the
Azuero Peninsula. Higher winds are noted in the convective
activity offshore Colombia. Light to gentle winds and moderate
seas dominate the remainder of the offshore forecast waters.
For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds are expected mainly
during the nighttime and early morning hours in the Papagayo area
and downwind to beyond 90W through at least Tue. Winds up to 30
kt, and seas up to 9 ft are forecast this upcoming weekend. In
the Gulf of Panama, moderate northerly winds, occasionally fresh,
are expected throughout the forecast period, with stronger conditions
most likely during this weekend. Light to gentle winds and moderate
seas will prevail elsewhere.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
A ridge dominates the northern forecast waters N of 15N and W of
110W, including the Revillagigedo Islands. Multilayer clouds,
with possible showers, associated with strong upper level winds,
are noted from 18N to 28N between 115W and 125W. The pressure
gradient between the ridge and lower pressures in the vicinity of
the ITCZ supports moderate to locally fresh winds N of the ITCZ
to about 15N and west of 120W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas are occurring.
For the forecast, high pressure will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the northern forecast waters over the
next several days with little change in winds and seas. Mainly
moderate winds are expected in the trade wind zone. On Sun,
another cold front will enter the N waters, and likely reach the
northern Gulf California on Mon. Gentle to moderate N winds and
moderate seas are forecast in the wake of the front.
$$
GR
