000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270838
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Apr 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A trough axis extends from 09N79W to 12N95W to 07N110W. The ITCZ
extends from 07N110W to 10N130W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered
moderate convection is ongoing within 60 nm north of the trough
axis between 88W and 92W, and between 98W and 103W. Scattered
moderate convection is active within 120 nm north of the ITCZ
between 115W and 130W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Weak ridging off Baja California is supporting moderate to fresh
northwest winds over the offshore waters of Baja California,
with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Combined seas are 5-7 ft
off Baja California, 3-5 ft off southwest and southern Mexico,
and 1-3 ft in the southern Gulf of California.
For the forecast, the weak ridging will build over the area
through early week. The pattern will support moderate to fresh
northwest winds over the Baja California waters, except for
moderate to fresh to occasionally strong winds funneling along
the coast of Baja California Sur between between Cabo San Lazaro
and Punta Eugenia tonight through Mon morning. Elsewhere, mostly
light to gentle west to northwest winds are expected through the
week. Moderate to fresh winds may develop in the central and
southern Gulf of California by the middle of the week as the
pressure gradient tightens slightly. Seas may build to locally
rough off Baja California Norte by the end of the week in NW
swell.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Light to gentle variable winds and 3-5 ft combined seas prevail
north of the Equator. Gentle to moderate SE winds prevail south
of the Equator, within 5-7 ft seas in S to SW swell.
For the forecast, a light gradient will maintain rather tranquil
conditions over the Central American and Colombian waters
through the week while moderate to fresh southeast winds and
moderate long-period south to southwest swell remain offshore
Ecuador. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh in the Gulf of
Papagayo Tue evening.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
The ridge north of the ITCZ is disrupted by a trough extending
from 28N123W to 20N130W. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds are
found north of the ITCZ to 20N west of 120W. Gentle to moderate
winds are west of the trough. Mainly light to gentle winds are
elsewhere across the open waters. Seas are 6-8 ft in mixed SE and
NW swell south of the Equator, and 4-7 ft across the remainder
of the waters.
For the forecast, the rather weak high pressure across the
region along with persistent troughing over the northwest waters
will generally maintain moderate to occasionally fresh trade
winds from the ITCZ to 20N and west of 120W. Combined seas will
be in the range of 5-7 ft over the western part of the area through
the remainder of the weekend then 4-6 ft across the entire area
early next week, except near 8 ft along 03.4S through the early
part of the week. Seas may build slightly over the waters north
of 10N and west of 120W by the middle of the week in new swells.
$$
Christensen
