204
AXPZ20 KNHC 101533
TWDEP
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Fri Apr 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough extends from 06N77W to 03N96W. The ITCZ
continues from 03N96W to 04N120W to 04N140W. A second ITCZ is
south of the Equator and runs from 06S85W to 05S120W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection can be found from 02N to
07N E of 91W to the coast of Colombia, and from 03N to 09N
between 120W and 135W.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...
Fresh to strong N winds are noted across the Gulf of Tehuantepec
and downwind to 13N. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these winds. A weak
ridge continues to dominate the offshore waters of Baja California
supporting moderate to locally fresh NW to N winds with moderate
seas. Light to gentle winds prevail across most of the Gulf of
California. Elsewhere across the Mexican offshore waters, light
to gentle winds and moderate seas, primarily in southerly swell,
prevail.
For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong northerly winds are
forecast in the Tehuantepec region through Sun morning, with
seas up to 9 ft. Afterwards, mainly moderate to fresh N winds are
expected. Moderate to locally fresh NW winds and moderate seas
are forecast off Baja California through Mon under the influence
of a ridge. By Mon night into Tue, the pressure gradient may
tighten enough between the ridge to the W and lower pressures
inland Mexico to support moderate to fresh NW winds off the Baja
California Peninsula. Fresh to locally strong SW to W winds are
forecast in the northern Gulf of California tonight through Sun
night ahead of a couple of frontal boundaries approaching Baja
California Norte. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker
with moderate seas through the middle of next week.
....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
Fresh to strong gap winds prevail across the Gulf of Papagayo
and downwind to near 90W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these winds.
Farther east, moderate to locally fresh N winds and seas of 3 to
5 ft are present in the Gulf of Panama, and downstream of the
Azuero Peninsula. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas
dominate the remainder of the offshore forecast waters.
For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds are expected mainly
during the nighttime and early morning hours in the Papagayo area
and downwind to near 90W through at least Tue night. Winds up to
30 kt, and seas up to 9 ft are forecast during the upcoming
weekend. In the Gulf of Panama, moderate northerly winds,
occasionally fresh, are forecast throughout the forecast period,
with stronger conditions most likely during this weekend. Light
to gentle winds and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
A ridge dominates the northern forecast waters N of 15N and W of
110W, including the Revillagigedo Islands. Multilayer clouds,
with possible showers, associated with strong upper level winds,
are noted from 15N to 27N between 115W and 130W. A surface
trough is analyzed is this area and extends from 21N120W to
15N128W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower
pressures in the vicinity of the ITCZ supports moderate to
locally fresh winds N of the ITCZ to about 15N and west of 120W.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
occurring.
For the forecast, high pressure will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the forecast waters over the next several
days with little change in winds and seas. Mainly moderate winds
are expected in the trade wind zone. On Sun, another cold front
will reach the N waters extending from 31N120W to 27N140W.
Gentle to moderate N winds and moderate seas are expected in the
wake of the front.
$$
GR
