ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lidia Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152023 900 PM MDT Sat Oct 07 2023 ...LIDIA SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...FORECAST TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO AS A HURRICANE EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 112.6W ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Islas Marias and along the west-central coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Watches could be required for portions of these areas on Sunday. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 112.6 West. Lidia is moving toward the west-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A gradual turn toward the north is expected on Sunday, followed by a faster northeastward motion on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Lidia should approach the Islas Marias and the coast of west-central Mexico early next week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual strengthening is expected through early next week, and Lidia is forecast to become a hurricane by early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Lidia can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP5.shtml SURF: Swells generated by Lidia will affect the west coast of Mexico and the Baja California peninsula for the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart NNNN
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