ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Storm Jova Discussion Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112023 800 AM PDT Sun Sep 10 2023 Limited convection is all that remains with Jova this morning. An earlier scatterometer pass depicted winds of around 30-35 kt. The cloud pattern has continued to deteriorate since that time. The initial intensity is lowered to 35 kt for this advisory, which is in good agreement with subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates. Jova continues to gradually spin down as it traverses cool ocean temperatures and a stable environment. Jova is expected to degenerate into a remnant low later tonight. No significant changes were made to the official forecast, which lies near the consensus intensity aids. Jova's initial motion is estimated to be northwestward at 315/4 kt, a slightly slower motion as the system continues to weaken and become steered by the low-level wind pattern. As Jova degenerates into a remnant low it should turn toward the west and west-southwest. The NHC forecast track is similar to the previous advisory, near the model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/1500Z 24.2N 126.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 11/0000Z 24.6N 127.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 11/1200Z 24.7N 128.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 12/0000Z 24.3N 129.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 12/1200Z 23.6N 131.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 13/0000Z 22.7N 133.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 13/1200Z 21.8N 135.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kelly NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 18-Dec-2023 12:10:15 UTC